The Institute of Energy Security (IES) has predicted that fuel prices will shoot up slightly in September.
This is due to, among other things, the depreciation of the local currency, Cedi, against the major trading currencies especially the dollar.
Research and Policy Analyst at the IES Raymond Nuworkpor said: “Fuel prices on the local market have been stable for the past 8 weeks.
“However, taking into consideration the appreciation in the price of international benchmark, Brent Crude, that is 2.45%, and refined product – Gasoline, which is also known as Petrol (6.23%), as well as the 0.17% depreciation of the Cedi against the U.S Dollar, we at IES foresee prices of fuel on the local market losing stability.
“Thus consumers may pay an extra pesewa for a litre of Gasoline or Gasoil, that’s Petrol or Diesel.
“However, competition between Oil Marketing Companies, to control and gain market share could result in the selling price of fuel remaining unchanged within the first pricing window of September, 2020” he said in a statement.
Read full statement below…
Fuel prices on the local market remained stable in the Pricing-window under review.
Petroleum product prices within the second Pricing-window of August 2020 saw the majority of the Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) maintaining the prices of Gasoline and Gasoil.
The current national average price of fuel per litre at the pump is pegged at ¢4.80 for both Gasoline and Gasoil.
Over the past two weeks, Santol, Benab Oil, Nick Petroleum, Radiance, Champion and Cash Oil, joined Zen Petroleum as OMCs spotted by IES Market-scan as trading with the least-rates for Gasoline and Gasoil within the downstream oil market.
World Oil Market
Brent crude price remained above the $44 per barrel mark for the Pricing-window under assessment. On 25th August, Brent crude rose to $45.86 a barrel, the highest since March 6.
This steady gain can be attributed to declining inventories, recovery on the stock market and the continuous easing of restrictions on economic activities around the world.
Following this, Brent crude appreciated by 2.45% from $44.13 per barrel recorded at the end of the first Pricing-window of August to close at $45.21 per barrel on average terms at end of the second pricing Pricing-window in August 2020.
S&P’s Platts benchmark for fuels shows average Gasoline price appreciated by 6.23% to close at $407.86 per metric tonne, from a previous average of $383.94 per metric tonne.
Meanwhile, Gasoil declined by 0.11% to close trading at $370.55 per metric tonne, from a previous average of $370.96 per metric tonne.
Local Forex
Data collated by IES Economic Desk from the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market shows the Cedi depreciated by 0.17% against the U.S. Dollar, trading at an average price of ¢5.74 to the U.S. Dollar over the period, from a previous rate of ¢5.73 recorded in the first Pricing-window of August 2020.
PROJECTIONS FOR SEPTEMBER 2020 FIRST PRICING-WINDOW
Taking into consideration the appreciation in the prices of International Benchmark – Brent Crude (2.45%) and refined product – Gasoline (6.23%) as well the 0.17% depreciation of the Cedi against the U.S. Dollar; the Institute for Energy Security (IES) foresees prices of fuel on the local market losing stability and going up marginally.
However, competition between Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) to control and gain market shares could result in the selling price of fuels remaining unchanged within the first Pricing-window of September 2020.
